Anticipatory action frameworks 23
Trigger monitoring, forecast checks and design notes for the frameworks in the OCHA/CERF portfolio.
Tchad — évolution CH/IPC par département report
Tchad — évolution CH/IPC par département (situational context, NOT the trigger)
GitHub Pages
Unofficial exploratory mid-season Window-3 biomass read, dekad 21 2026 report
Unofficial exploratory mid-season Window-3 biomass read, dekad 21 2026 (banner-flagged NOT OFFICIAL MONITORING)
GitHub Pages
Window-3 trigger explainer slides + dekad-24 backtest 1999–2025 + 2026 read report
Window-3 trigger explainer slides + dekad-24 backtest 1999–2025 + 2026 read (3 slides)
GitHub PagesAA framework pages docs
One page per OCHA/CERF framework: trigger design, windows, activations and documents, generated from the KB and the tracking database.
GitHub Pages
AA trigger statistics dashboard
How the portfolio's triggers have performed: activation rates, return periods and framework-by-framework detail, refreshed daily from the tracking database.
GitHub Pages
All organisations' AA frameworks dashboard
The cross-organisation view — OCHA, IFRC, WFP, FAO, Start Network and others — one row per framework, from the KB's external-frameworks catalog.
GitHub Pages
Anticipatory Action frameworks — status map dashboard
Every OCHA/CERF AA framework on one map: active, recently triggered, expired, in development — with activations, trigger windows, funding and the published framework document.
GitHub Pages
Afghanistan drought analysis book book
Afghanistan drought analysis book (Quarto, Netlify — personal account)
Netlify
Afghanistan drought analysis book — Quarto Pub mirror book
Quarto Pub
Bangladesh cyclone monitoring app app
Bangladesh cyclone monitoring app (Shiny; App Service ds-aa-bgd-cyclone-monitoring)
Azureprobe failed
Burkina Faso — Suivi AA inondations
Burkina Faso — Suivi AA inondations (SEAS5)
GitHub Pages
Cuba hurricanes analysis book book
Cuba hurricanes analysis book (Quarto, Netlify)
Netlify
Cuba hurricanes trigger app app
Cuba hurricanes trigger app (Azure web app chd-ds-cub-trigger)
AzureCOD IDSR data-evaluation book book
COD IDSR data-evaluation book (Quarto; private-repo Pages)
GitHub Pages🔒 private repoAnticipatory Action Drought Trigger Development & Forecast Evaluation
GitHub Pages
Anticipatory Action - Fiji Tropical Cyclones
GitHub Pages
Malawi drought exploratory trigger analysis report
Malawi drought exploratory trigger analysis (legacy pa-anticipatory-action monorepo site)
GitHub Pages
GEOGloWS Evaluation for Nepal Flood AA Framework
GitHub PagesIRI Maproom 2 — Niger drought trigger app
IRI Maproom 2 — Niger drought trigger (operated by IRI/Columbia, external)
Web
Niger drought trigger explorer app
Niger drought trigger explorer (marimo WASM, iri-trend branch docs/)
GitHub PagesMonitoring, alerts & data 24
Living systems: near-real-time monitoring, alert pages, and the data mirrors they publish.
Action anticipatoire Haïti — ouragans
GitHub PagesVenezuela earthquake dashboard dashboard
Venezuela earthquake dashboard (private Enterprise-org repo Pages)
GitHub Pages🔒 private repoAA tracking review site dashboard
AA tracking review site (staticrypt; tables, ERDs, reconciliation queues)
GitHub Pages🔒 passwordACLED Trends data downloads downloads
ACLED Trends data downloads (password-gated; CSVs client-side encrypted)
GitHub Pages🔒 password
CERF supplement review — Storms + Droughts tabs dashboard
GitHub Pages
Cholera PDF-scraper (LLM extraction) book book
Cholera PDF-scraper (LLM extraction) book (Quarto, Netlify; auto-named URL, typo is real)
Netlify
Cholera Trigger Analysis
GitHub Pages
Cyclone Exposure Dashboard
GitHub Pages
DSCI Pipeline Status dashboard dashboard
DSCI Pipeline Status dashboard (Databricks-only; superseded by infrastructure/pipeline-registry.md)
GitHub Pages
FEWS NET mirror explorer dashboard
FEWS NET mirror explorer (Classifications / Units, CSV download)
GitHub Pages
Global Flood Monitoring
GitHub Pages
Global Flood Monitoring book book
Global Flood Monitoring book (Quarto, Netlify)
Netlify
HNRP / PiN mirror explorer dashboard
HNRP / PiN mirror explorer (Plans, admin-level PiN, severity; CSV download)
GitHub Pages
IPC/CH mirror explorer dashboard
IPC/CH mirror explorer (National trends / Areas / P-coded; CSV download)
GitHub Pages
ROSEA thresholds monitoring dashboard dashboard
ROSEA thresholds monitoring dashboard (index.html on main; 'internal tool under development')
GitHub Pages
Storm impact harmonisation site landing page site
Storm impact harmonisation site landing page (manifest-driven, pages/products/*/page.toml)
GitHub Pages
Teleconnections (ENSO/IOD/PDO) docs & maps docs
Teleconnections (ENSO/IOD/PDO) docs & maps (served from feature/era5-ghpages docs/)
GitHub PagesApps & explorers 27
Interactive tools — hosted on Azure or as static sites — for exploring exposure, forecasts and allocations.
Geospatial Impact Estimates — OCHA Centre for Humanitarian Data
Map-first viewer comparing multi-source satellite damage-exposure estimates for the same admin/H3 unit
GitHub Pages
Damage evaluation, technical write-up — passphrase required
Map-first viewer comparing multi-source satellite damage-exposure estimates for the same admin/H3 unit
GitHub Pages
The Glacier That Stopped Refreezing
Map-first viewer comparing multi-source satellite damage-exposure estimates for the same admin/H3 unit
GitHub Pages
Vantor Open Data activations — Geospatial Impact Estimates
Map-first viewer comparing multi-source satellite damage-exposure estimates for the same admin/H3 unit
GitHub Pages
SEAS5 site landing page site
Interactive SEAS5 precipitation skill and alert explorer — shows forecast percentile vs. Pearson-r skill for every monitored country, every trimester, for any issued month/year back to 1981.
GitHub Pages
ENSO & the seasonal forecast, by country
Interactive SEAS5 precipitation skill and alert explorer — shows forecast percentile vs. Pearson-r skill for every monitored country, every trimester, for any issued month/year back to 1981.
GitHub Pages
SEAS5 skill & alert explorer app
Interactive SEAS5 precipitation skill and alert explorer — shows forecast percentile vs. Pearson-r skill for every monitored country, every trimester, for any issued month/year back to 1981.
GitHub Pages
Uganda — OND 2026 flood trigger: revised analysis and design options
Interactive SEAS5 precipitation skill and alert explorer — shows forecast percentile vs. Pearson-r skill for every monitored country, every trimester, for any issued month/year back to 1981.
GitHub Pages
Fiji Storms Historical Forecasts App app
Interactive map of historical tropical cyclone tracks and hindcast forecasts for the Fiji Anticipatory Action framework, used to review how past triggers fired.
AzureHaiti Hurricanes AA Framework — historical triggers app app
Dash map + timeline for exploring how each historical Haiti hurricane forecast performed against the AA framework's readiness/action trigger thresholds
Azureprobe failedBAY-States Cholera: Data Exploration & Trigger Analysis app
Static Quarto book exploring the BAY-states (Borno/Adamawa/Yobe) 2018-2023 cholera line-list and a candidate anticipatory-action trigger
AzureAA CERF Allocations app
Azure web app ds-aa-cerf-allocations — not yet described in the knowledge base.
Azure🔒 internal
African Regional Seasonal Forecasts — ACMAD & AGRHYMET app
Gallery, year-viewer and gridded data viewer of African regional seasonal forecast products (ACMAD, AGRHYMET, SADC CSC) for comparison against global forecasts (SEAS5)
GitHub Pages
C3S seasonal precipitation — skill & forecast viewer app
Compare C3S seasonal precipitation skill (1993–2016 hindcast correlation) with the current operational forecast for each contributing system; classify systems good/ok/bad and regroup forecasts by skill.
GitHub Pages
CERF 3RM Allocation Estimator app
Estimate CERF rapid-response allocation size for a given emergency using an OLS model trained on 2016+ 3RM data.
Azure
CERF Global Trigger Allocations app
Monte Carlo–simulate CERF's aggregate AA financial exposure across the whole portfolio of trigger frameworks → an interactive Shiny dashboard for CERF colleagues to explore budget-exceedance risk and premium/deductible scenarios for a hypothetical CERF AA insurance mechanism.
shinyapps.io
Damage Exposure Viewer app
Map-first viewer comparing multi-source satellite damage-exposure estimates for the same admin/H3 unit
Azure
Flood Exposure Monitoring App app
Interactive map and chart showing near-real-time population exposure to flooding (Floodscan × WorldPop) across 12 countries, with return-period context.
Azure
Global Tropical Cyclones Return Period App app
Interactive return-period explorer for tropical cyclones — lets users dial wind-speed and distance thresholds to determine which historical storms would have triggered for any country, and cross-checks against EM-DAT impact and CERF allocation data.
AzureKB Chat app
Azure web app chd-ds-kb-chat from ds-kb-chatbot — not yet described in the knowledge base.
Azure🔒 internal
SEAS5 Skill Explorer app
Interactive SEAS5 precipitation skill and alert explorer — shows forecast percentile vs. Pearson-r skill for every monitored country, every trimester, for any issued month/year back to 1981.
AzureSEAS5-ERA5-EMDAT Explorer app
Interactive scatter-plot explorer comparing SEAS5 seasonal rainfall forecasts against ERA5 reanalysis and EM-DAT flood impact, per admin division, for any country/season
AzureSeasonality app
Azure web app chd-ds-seasonality — not yet described in the knowledge base.
Azure🔒 internal
Storm exposure comparison app
Interactive comparison of CHD (forecast-only + observed) vs GDACS vs ADAM per-country tropical-cyclone population exposure, with configurable trigger thresholds and a Weibull return-period readout.
GitHub PagesStorms Alerts app
Azure web app chd-ds-storms-alerts from ds-storms-alerts — not yet described in the knowledge base.
Azure🔒 internalStorms Explore app
Azure web app chd-ds-storms-explore — not yet described in the knowledge base.
Azure🔒 internal
Venezuela earthquake — residents of damaged buildings app
Static GitHub Pages map+table of population-in-damaged-buildings per admin per damage source for the 2026-06-24 Venezuela earthquake, with an HNO pre-existing-need overlay. Its own in-repo one-off pipelines pre-compute the data it serves.
GitHub PagesAnalyses & reports 14
Rendered analyses, reports and slide decks: regional overviews, ad-hoc activations, method studies.
Somalia riverine flood trigger — site landing page site
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
Open multi-model vs one model per window — Somalia Riverine Flood Trigger
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
Somalia flood indicator explorer app
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
Somalia flood trigger report report
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
Somalia floods: data-source review — Somalia Riverine Flood Trigger
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
The balanced trigger — Somalia Riverine Flood Trigger
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
Trigger mechanism: one model per window — Somalia Riverine Flood Trigger
Multi-model (GloFAS / Google Flood Hub / GEOGloWS) riverine flood trigger design for the Juba and Shabelle, calibrated against SWALIM gauges — the proposed mechanism for a Somalia flooding AA framework
GitHub Pages
Shabelle & Genale Flood Watch
GitHub Pages
FTS GHO-vs-non-GHO funding download page downloads
FTS incoming funding to the 18 US Award countries 2025–2026, split GHO vs non-GHO plus pooled-fund (CERF+CBPF) shares; single CSV + Excel + GH Pages table, rerunnable stdlib pull
GitHub PagesExternal AA frameworks review site dashboard
Independent review of the WFP/FAO Southern Africa drought AA triggers proposed for the CERF El Niño 2026/27 harmonisation: recovers the activation records behind the agencies' stated return periods from public endpoints (PRISM operational trigger CSVs, IRI fbfmaproom2 hindcast API), computes Weibull RPs and trend-split RPs, cross-checks triggers and 2026/27 forecasts against ERA5/SEAS5 (detrended, from the team rasterstats DB), and publishes a password-protected review site.
GitHub Pages🔒 password
Niger/Benue flood-trigger monitor app
DRAFT (unreviewed, unapproved) reproduction of the endorsed Adamawa multi-gauge flood-trigger method across all 14 Niger/Benue riverine states, feeding a national-level government (non-OCHA) AA framework in design
GitHub Pages
ASAP indicator trends results site report
Tests whether long-term trends in the JRC ASAP indicators have made ASAP's fixed −1 z-score warning threshold harder to reach. For South Sudan: zFPARc on rangeland rose ~0.5 z/decade and its threshold-breach rate fell from 15.5% to 1.1% of in-season dekads, while SPI-3 and WSI show no significant trend — so the drift is on the biomass side of the warning classification, not the rainfall side.
GitHub Pages
Syria drought analysis book book
Syria drought analysis book (Quarto, Netlify; site id 6448b267-03d9-4a23-bded-631925132d09)
Netlify
Uganda HNRP / SEAS5 country analysis report
District-level SEAS5 drought readout + OND flood outlook for the Uganda country team (no HNRP, so JIAF 2.0 Light + reach workbooks replace the HPC mirror), published as a standalone page
GitHub PagesNothing matches — clear the filters.








