Map
Current version of each framework. Pin colour = status; each red dot = one past activation. Shaded countries have at least one framework. Click a pin for detail (activation dates link to the announcement where one exists).Version actuelle de chaque cadre. Couleur de l’épingle = statut ; chaque point rouge = une activation passée. Les pays ombrés comptent au moins un cadre. Cliquez sur une épingle pour le détail (les dates d’activation renvoient à l’annonce lorsqu’elle existe).
Active frameworks
Current version of each operational framework; multi-country frameworks are split to one row per country. Click a column header to sort; type in the per-column boxes to filter.Version actuelle de chaque cadre opérationnel ; les cadres multi-pays sont répartis en une ligne par pays. Cliquez sur un en-tête de colonne pour trier ; tapez dans les cases de chaque colonne pour filtrer.
| Country | Hazard | Monitoring | AOI | Status | Activations | Trigger (per window) | Pre-arranged | Target people | Framework doc (endorsed date) | Repo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR Congo | cholera | year-round | Nord-Kivu; Sud-Kivu; Tanganyika; Haut-Lomami; Haut-Katanga; Non-endemic provinces (all other) | Active | 2023-01↗, 2023-06↗, 2025-03↗, 2025-05↗, 2025-07↗, 2026-02↗ | Scenario 1 — endemic provinces Suspected cases: ≥174 suspected cases/week OR ≥4× week-over-week increase (or a combination), sustained 3 consecutive w… Scenario 2 — non-endemic provinces Suspected cases: ≥63 suspected cases/week OR ≥4× week-over-week increase (or a combination); same 3-week + lab-confirma… | $4.0M | — | 2026-06-10 ↗ | 🔒 private |
| Mozambique | cholera | year-round | National | Active | — | District path Weekly AWD cases per district: floor met AND (4× prev week OR ≥99th percentile per 100k) for 3 consecutive weeks; ≥2 di… Province path Weekly province-total AWD cases ≥2,500 for 3 consecutive weeks: 2,500 cases/week | $1.5M | — | 2026-05-22 ↗ | ds-aa-moz-cholera ↗ |
| Afghanistan | drought | Mar–Apr | Balkh; Faryab; Jawzjan; Sar-e-Pul; Badghis | Active | 2025-04↗ | Window A (March) SEAS5 MAM precipitation forecast (area-weighted, 5 provinces): ≤ 129 mm Window B (April) CDI = weighted average of z-scored: FAO ASI (March dekad 3, 20.6%), blended ERA5 obs/SEAS5 forecast precipitation (27.6… | $22.0M | 390,275 | 2026-04-04 ↗ | ds-aa-afg-drought ↗ |
| Burkina Faso | drought | Apr, Aug–Sep | Liptako; Yaadga | Active | — | issued April SEAS5 seasonal precip (Jun–Oct) tercile: ≥ 50% of AOI in lowest tercile dekads 21–26 (late Jul–mid Sep) JRC ASAP biomass/water-balance: Level-3 alert in ≥2 provinces | $8.0M | — | 2026-04-17 ↗ | pa-aa-bfa-drought ↗ |
| Ethiopia | drought | Feb, Apr–May, Aug–Sep | Somali; Oromia; South Ethiopia Region; Afar; SNNP | development | 2020-12↗, 2021-03 | MAM (Belg, Mar–May) SEAS5 Feb-issued zone count at >=5yr RP: >=15 zones (of 62 monitored) JJAS (Kiremt, Jun–Sep) SEAS5 Apr OR May-issued zone count at >=5yr RP: >=35 zones (of 83 monitored); Apr OR May issue (Mar is monitoring conte… OND (Deyr, Oct–Dec) Maproom woreda/zone drought trigger over 19 zones: Maproom-defined (not a SEAS5 zone-count) | — | — | not public | ds-aa-eth-drought ↗ |
| Kenya | drought | Jul–Sep | KE001; KE007; KE009; KE011; KE023; KE026; KE028; KE036; KE038; KE039 | development | — | OND-July-checkpoint "KMD SPI-OND < -0.98 prob" (EAP); "KMD CPT below-normal prob" (repo: 40%/35% IOD-adjusted): EAP: ≥33% in ≥3 of 23 ASAL… OND-August-checkpoint same: EAP: ≥33% in ≥3 of 23 ASAL counties; repo RP5: same IOD thresholds OND-September-checkpoint same: EAP: ≥33% in ≥3 of 23 ASAL counties; repo RP5: same IOD thresholds | — | — | not public | ds-aa-ken-drought ↗ |
| Guatemala | drought | Mar–May, Jul–Sep | Chiquimula, Zacapa, Jalapa, El Progreso | recently triggered | 2025-07↗, 2026-03↗ | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds (grid-searched); overall seasonal RP ≈… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds; overall seasonal RP ≈ 1 in 3.9–4.4 yr… | $4.0M | — | 2026-03-13 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ |
| Honduras | drought | Mar–May, Jul–Sep | El Paraíso (Texiguat, Vado Ancho), Francisco Morazán (Curarén, Alubarén, Reitoca) | recently triggered | 2026-03↗ | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds (grid-searched); overall seasonal RP ≈… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds; overall seasonal RP ≈ 1 in 3.9–4.4 yr… | $4.0M | — | 2026-03-13 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ |
| El Salvador | drought | Mar–May, Jul–Sep | Ahuachapán, Santa Ana | recently triggered | 2026-03↗ | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds (grid-searched); overall seasonal RP ≈… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds; overall seasonal RP ≈ 1 in 3.9–4.4 yr… | $2.5M | — | 2026-03-13 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ |
| Mauritania | drought | Feb–May, Jul–Aug | MR10 | recently triggered | 2026-05↗ | Window 1 — Forecast (Feb–May) ONM JAS seasonal forecast (NCDP Maproom v8), top-45% drought years across Mauritania, two consecutive issue months: 45t… Window 2 — Observational (Jul–Aug) Cumulative CHIRPS national-average rainfall since 1 July vs dekad thresholds: 2nd Jul=6.6mm, 3rd Jul=13.6mm, 1st Aug=22… | $2.5M | — | 2026-04-17 ↗ | ds-aa-mrt-drought ↗ |
| Niger | drought | Feb–Jun, Aug | south-of-17N-zone | development | 2022-08↗ | Window 1 "save the harvest" IRI below-avg JAS prob (rolling 10-yr reference): top 35% of reference window (app default) Window 2 (forecast path) IRI below-avg JAS prob (rolling 10-yr reference): top 35% of reference window (app default) Window 2 (observational path) "Aug" column: bottom 15% of full record (app default; endorsed PDF states lowest 35% — unresolved) | — | — | not public | ds-aa-ner-drought ↗ |
| Chad | drought | Mar–Jun, Sep | Lac; Kanem; Bahr-El-Gazal; Sila; Wadi Fira; Batha; Ouaddaï | Active | 2026-04↗, 2026-05↗ | Window 1 — livelihoods (main harvest) SEAS5 pixel percentile rank, spatial 20th quantile over AOI: < 15th historical percentile Window 2 — livelihoods (market garden & livestock) SEAS5 pixel percentile rank, spatial 20th quantile over AOI: < 15th historical percentile Window 3 — early humanitarian impact ACF biomass trend-adjusted anomaly, AOI aggregate, dekad 24 (3rd decade Aug): < 84.5% of linear-fit prediction | $8.0M | 260,000 | 2025-03-03 ↗ | ds-aa-tcd-drought ↗ |
| Burkina Faso | flood | Jul–Sep | Liptako; Koulsé; Bankui; Yaadga; Djoro; Sourou | recently triggered | 2025-09↗ | Scenario 3: SEAS5 seasonal forecast (5 regions) SEAS5-monthly-precip-forecast: Region-specific per month (see table below): Liptako 5.04/7.55/3.77 mm, Koulsé 5.98/8.32… Scenario 4: CONASUR observational alert + IMERG CONASUR-flood-alert, IMERG-observed-precip: CONASUR categorical alert (confirmed flood in target region, validated by I… Scenarios 1 and 2: Mouhoun river gauge (DEFERRED to 2026) river-gauge-level-DGRE: Yaran station 416 cm (upper Mouhoun, 13–24 day lead); Ténado station 580 cm / 130 m3/s (lower M… | $1.0M | 79,800 | 2025-08 ↗ | ds-aa-bfa-flooding ↗ |
| Bangladesh | flood | Jun–Sep | Bogra; Jamalpur; Sirajganj; Gaibandha; Kurigram; Madaripur; Manikganj; Shariatpur | Active | 2020-07↗, 2020-07↗, 2024-07↗ | Readiness GloFAS-discharge-probability at Bahadurabad: P(discharge > 1-in-5 RP) ≥ 50% for 3 consecutive days Action FFWC-water-level at Bahadurabad + GloFAS/RIMES trend at Bahadurabad: FFWC crosses DL+0.85 m AND GloFAS/RIMES sustained/… Readiness GloFAS-discharge-probability at Baruria transit (Goalando): P(discharge > 1-in-5 RP) ≥ 50% for 3 consecutive days Action FFWC-water-level at Mawa + GloFAS/RIMES trend at Baruria transit: FFWC crosses DL+0.5 m ("1-in-5 RP") AND GloFAS/RIMES… | $6.0M | — | 2025-04-25 ↗ | pa-aa-bgd-flooding ↗ |
| Niger | flood | Nov–Feb, Jul–Sep | Dosso; Tillabéri | recently triggered | 2024-11↗, 2026-01 | mobilisation (crue locale Jul-Sep OR crue guinéenne Nov-Feb) ABN-Niamey-water-level-cm: 592 cm action (crue locale Jul-Sep OR crue guinéenne Nov-Feb) ABN-Niamey-water-level-cm: 604 cm | $5.0M | 109,156 | 2025-11-04 ↗ | pa-aa-ner-flooding ↗ |
| Nigeria | flood | Aug–Nov | NG002001; NG002002; NG002005; NG002009; NG002016; NG002020; NG002021 | Active | 2025-09↗ | Adamawa action — riverine (Benue R.) Google-GRRR-multi-gauge-discharge (≥6 of 10 gauges simultaneously exceed 4-yr RP): Per-gauge 4-yr empirical Weibull RP… Adamawa readiness — GloFAS (forecast OR reanalysis) GloFAS-discharge at Wuroboki (G5004): ≥3,132 m³/s (READINESS_GLOFAS_THRESH) for both branches NHF flash flood — BAY states (4 retargeted LGAs) FloodScan×WorldPop population exposure per LGA, strict 3-day rolling mean (app.floodscan_exposure): Mobbar 14,720; Maid… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-nga-flooding ↗ |
| Nepal | flood | Jun–Sep | NPL/Koshi Province/Sunsari district — Chatara gauge, Koshi river (in scope of the endorsed 2025 framework); NPL/Karnali — Chisapani gauge, Karnali river (out of endorsed 2025 scope; carried for cross-source evaluation only) | development | 2021-08↗, 2022-10↗, 2024-10↗, 2024-10↗, 2022-10↗ | readiness GloFAS ensemble discharge at Chatara, ≥50% prob > RP5 (10,300 m³/s), 7-day lead action DHM 3-day flood-forecast bulletin (3 qualitative conditions) | — | — | not public | ds-aa-npl-flooding ↗ |
| Chad | flood | Jul–Oct | TD18; TD11 | Active | 2024-09↗ | Readiness (Mobilisation) GloFAS ensemble-mean discharge, Chari R. at N'Djamena: ≥ 4,542 m³/s Action GloFAS ensemble-mean discharge, Chari R. at N'Djamena: ≥ 4,542 m³/s | $4.0M | — | 2025-07-31 ↗ | pa-aa-tcd-flooding ↗ |
| Madagascar | plague | Oct–Apr | Central highlands (plague-endemic regions) | development | — | *(none documented)* —: — | — | — | not public | — |
| Bangladesh | tropical-cyclone | Apr–Jun, Oct–Nov | Barguna; Bhola; Patuakhali; Noakhali; Satkhira; Khulna | Active | — | Stage I — Readiness ≥2 of 5 models forecast wind speed at union level: 118 km/h Stage II — Action ≥2 of 5 models forecast wind speed at union level; well-formed low pressure or depression formed in Bay: 118 km/h Stage III — Observational Observed wind at landfall (BMD/IMD) or ≥2 of {ECMWF, GFS, JTWC} consensus: 118 km/h | $4.0M | — | 2025-04-25 ↗ | ds-aa-bgd-cyclone-monitoring ↗ |
| Cuba | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | — | development | 2025-10↗ | Forecast (exposure-based) NHC wind-buffer pop. exposure at 34/50/64 kt (max total fcast = fcast + cummax obsv): TBD — optimization yields n=10 tr… Observational (rainfall fallback) IMERG q80 2-day rainfall over Cuba: TBD — set deterministically as (n - n_exp)-th largest q80 among non-exposure-trigge… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-cub-hurricanes ↗ |
| Fiji | tropical-cyclone | Oct–May | National | Active | — | readiness Population exposed to ≥ 64-knot FMS wind-field buffers (WorldPop 2020 1 km): ≥ 5,000 people action Same wind-field/population exposure indicator, truncated at 72 hr: ≥ 5,000 people observational IMERG Late v07b 2-day average rainfall over Fiji (TC within 250 km ± 1 day): ≥ 190 mm | $3.9M | — | 2025-12-17 ↗ | pa-aa-fji-storms ↗ |
| Haiti | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Nov | National | development | 2025-10↗ | forecast wind exposure (≥64 kt pop) OR forecast 2-day rain OR NHC Hurricane Warning for Haiti: optimised by 2D sweep (exp thresh… observed observed-only ≥64 kt wind exposure OR observed 2-day rolling rainfall ≥ threshold: same exposure threshold as forecast… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-hti-hurricanes ↗ |
| Madagascar | tropical-cyclone | Nov–Apr | National | recently triggered | 2026-02↗ | Readiness Wind speed forecast + distance to coast (Météo-Madagascar bulletin): ≥ 166 km/h (≈ 90 kt) forecast within 100 km of coa… Action Wind speed forecast + distance to coast (Météo-Madagascar bulletin): ≥ 166 km/h (≈ 90 kt) forecast within 100 km of coa… | $3.0M | — | 2024-12-13 ↗ | ds-aa-mdg-storms ↗ |
| Myanmar | tropical-cyclone | Apr–Dec | Rakhine | development | — | wind alert ECMWF-wind-speed, CMA-wind-speed (distance-reduced at Rakhine): >= 47 kt at Rakhine ADM1 rainfall alert CHIRPS-GEFS-3day-rainfall (3-day rolling SUM of Rakhine ADM1 daily-mean precip): >= 175 mm 3-day rolling sum | — | — | not public | ds-aa-mmr-cyclones ↗ |
| Mozambique | tropical-cyclone | Nov–Apr | Cabo Delgado; Nampula; Zambezia; Sofala; Inhambane; Gaza; Maputo; Maputo City | recently triggered | 2025-03↗, 2026-02↗ | Readiness windspeed exposed-area: ≥ 119 km/h over a coastal province Action windspeed exposed-area: ≥ 119 km/h over a coastal province Observational (wind) windspeed at landfall: ≥ 119 km/h Observational (rain) 3-day province rain (IMERG): > 120 mm | $4.5M | — | 2026-01-09 ↗ | ds-aa-moz-cyclones ↗ |
| Philippines | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | Bicol (R5); Eastern Visayas (R8); Caraga (R13) | recently triggered | 2025-11↗ | readiness "ECMWF-wind-forecast: max 10-min sustained wind speed": ≥177 km/h (or ≥200 km/h 1-min) projected to impact Region 5, 8,… action "510-model-houses-totally-damaged": Per-region matrix (e.g. Region 5: 50%@25k, 60%@15k, 70%@10k, 80%@6k, 95%@2.5k; Regi… observational "PAGASA-sustained-windspeed": Super typhoon ≥185 km/h (10-min); ≥50% of target region within damaging winds; used only… | $6.0M | 955,502 | 2025-10-03 ↗ | pa-aa-phl-storms ↗ |
| Vanuatu | tropical-cyclone | Nov–Apr | Sanma; Shefa; Tafea | development | — | activation IBTrACS USA-radii pop. exposed to ≥64kt wind (AOI: Shefa, Sanma, Tafea) AND IMERG 2-day mean rainfall (country): not fi… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-vut-cyclones ↗ |
All versions
Every ingested version, including superseded and retired.Toutes les versions ingérées, y compris remplacées et retirées.
Show full version history
| Country | Hazard | Monitoring | AOI | Status | Version | Activations | Trigger (per window) | Pre-arranged | Target people | Framework doc (endorsed date) | Repo | Supersedes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan | drought | Mar–Apr | Balkh; Faryab; Jawzjan; Sar-e-Pul; Badghis | Active | 2026-04-04 | 2025-04↗ | Window A (March) SEAS5 MAM precipitation forecast (area-weighted, 5 provinces): ≤ 129 mm Window B (April) CDI = weighted average of z-scored: FAO ASI (March dekad 3, 20.6%), blended ERA5 obs/SEAS5 forecast precipitation (27.6… | $22.0M | 390,275 | 2026-04-04 ↗ | ds-aa-afg-drought ↗ | 2025-04-01 |
| Burkina Faso | drought | Apr, Aug–Sep | Liptako; Yaadga | Active | 2026-04-17 | — | issued April SEAS5 seasonal precip (Jun–Oct) tercile: ≥ 50% of AOI in lowest tercile dekads 21–26 (late Jul–mid Sep) JRC ASAP biomass/water-balance: Level-3 alert in ≥2 provinces | $8.0M | — | 2026-04-17 ↗ | pa-aa-bfa-drought ↗ | 2025-02-28 |
| Burkina Faso | flood | Jul–Sep | Liptako; Koulsé; Bankui; Yaadga; Djoro; Sourou | recently triggered | 2025-08 | 2025-09↗ | Scenario 3: SEAS5 seasonal forecast (5 regions) SEAS5-monthly-precip-forecast: Region-specific per month (see table below): Liptako 5.04/7.55/3.77 mm, Koulsé 5.98/8.32… Scenario 4: CONASUR observational alert + IMERG CONASUR-flood-alert, IMERG-observed-precip: CONASUR categorical alert (confirmed flood in target region, validated by I… Scenarios 1 and 2: Mouhoun river gauge (DEFERRED to 2026) river-gauge-level-DGRE: Yaran station 416 cm (upper Mouhoun, 13–24 day lead); Ténado station 580 cm / 130 m3/s (lower M… | $1.0M | 79,800 | 2025-08 ↗ | ds-aa-bfa-flooding ↗ | — |
| Bangladesh | tropical-cyclone | Apr–Jun, Oct–Nov | Barguna; Bhola; Patuakhali; Noakhali; Satkhira; Khulna | Active | 2025-04-25 | — | Stage I — Readiness ≥2 of 5 models forecast wind speed at union level: 118 km/h Stage II — Action ≥2 of 5 models forecast wind speed at union level; well-formed low pressure or depression formed in Bay: 118 km/h Stage III — Observational Observed wind at landfall (BMD/IMD) or ≥2 of {ECMWF, GFS, JTWC} consensus: 118 km/h | $4.0M | — | 2025-04-25 ↗ | ds-aa-bgd-cyclone-monitoring ↗ | 2023-12-23 |
| Bangladesh | flood | Jun–Sep | Bogra; Jamalpur; Sirajganj; Gaibandha; Kurigram; Madaripur; Manikganj; Shariatpur | Active | 2025-04-25 | 2020-07↗, 2024-07↗ | Readiness GloFAS-discharge-probability at Bahadurabad: P(discharge > 1-in-5 RP) ≥ 50% for 3 consecutive days Action FFWC-water-level at Bahadurabad + GloFAS/RIMES trend at Bahadurabad: FFWC crosses DL+0.85 m AND GloFAS/RIMES sustained/… Readiness GloFAS-discharge-probability at Baruria transit (Goalando): P(discharge > 1-in-5 RP) ≥ 50% for 3 consecutive days Action FFWC-water-level at Mawa + GloFAS/RIMES trend at Baruria transit: FFWC crosses DL+0.5 m ("1-in-5 RP") AND GloFAS/RIMES… | $6.0M | — | 2025-04-25 ↗ | pa-aa-bgd-flooding ↗ | 2023 |
| Bangladesh | flood | Jun–Sep | Bogura; Gaibandha; Kurigram; Jamalpur; Sirajganj | superseded | 2020-06-26 | 2020-07↗ | Pre-activation GloFAS-discharge-probability at Bahadurabad: >50% probability of discharge exceeding 100,000 m3/s, sustained 3 days Activation FFWC-water-level at Bahadurabad: FFWC crosses Danger Level + 0.85 m | $7.5M | 390,000 | 2020-06-26 ↗ | — | — |
| DR Congo | cholera | year-round | Nord-Kivu; Sud-Kivu; Tanganyika; Haut-Lomami; Haut-Katanga; Non-endemic provinces (all other) | Active | 2026-06-10 | — | Scenario 1 — endemic provinces Suspected cases: ≥174 suspected cases/week OR ≥4× week-over-week increase (or a combination), sustained 3 consecutive w… Scenario 2 — non-endemic provinces Suspected cases: ≥63 suspected cases/week OR ≥4× week-over-week increase (or a combination); same 3-week + lab-confirma… | $4.0M | — | 2026-06-10 ↗ | 🔒 private | 2025-03-11 |
| DR Congo | cholera | year-round | Nord-Kivu; Sud-Kivu; Tanganyika; Haut-Lomami; Haut-Katanga; Non-endemic provinces (all other) | superseded | 2025-03-11 | 2023-01↗, 2023-06↗, 2025-03↗, 2025-05↗, 2025-07↗, 2026-02↗ | Scenario 1 — endemic provinces Suspected cases, deaths, cases/pop (max of 6 criteria): Any indicator at Alert Level 3 (>p99 or >4x w/w) for 3 consecut… Scenario 2 — non-endemic provinces Suspected cases, deaths, cases/pop (max of 6 criteria): Same alert structure as Scenario 1 | $3.0M | — | 2025-03-11 ↗ | 🔒 private | 2022-12-07 |
| Cuba | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | — | recently triggered | 2025-08-26 | 2025-10↗ | Readiness NHC forecast max wind in ZMA: ≥ 120 kt (Cat. 4) Anticipatory Action NHC forecast max wind in ZMA: ≥ 120 kt (Cat. 4) Early Response NHC observed wind in ZMA AND IMERG 2-day precip (q80 Cuba): ≥ 105 kt (Cat. 3) AND ≥ 98.2 mm | $4.0M | 170,000 | 2025-08-26 ↗ | ds-aa-cub-hurricanes ↗ | — |
| Cuba | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | — | development | 2026-06-17 | — | Forecast (exposure-based) NHC wind-buffer pop. exposure at 34/50/64 kt (max total fcast = fcast + cummax obsv): TBD — optimization yields n=10 tr… Observational (rainfall fallback) IMERG q80 2-day rainfall over Cuba: TBD — set deterministically as (n - n_exp)-th largest q80 among non-exposure-trigge… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-cub-hurricanes ↗ | 2025-08-26 |
| Ethiopia | drought | Feb, Apr–May, Aug–Sep | Somali; Oromia; South Ethiopia Region; Afar; SNNP | development | 2026-06-09 | — | MAM (Belg, Mar–May) SEAS5 Feb-issued zone count at >=5yr RP: >=15 zones (of 62 monitored) JJAS (Kiremt, Jun–Sep) SEAS5 Apr OR May-issued zone count at >=5yr RP: >=35 zones (of 83 monitored); Apr OR May issue (Mar is monitoring conte… OND (Deyr, Oct–Dec) Maproom woreda/zone drought trigger over 19 zones: Maproom-defined (not a SEAS5 zone-count) | — | — | not public | ds-aa-eth-drought ↗ | 2020-12-07 |
| Ethiopia | drought | — | Somali; Oromia; South Ethiopia Region; Afar; SNNP | retired | 2020-12-07 | 2020-12↗, 2021-03 | Drought-related food insecurity (single, AND-logic) (food insecurity) IPC 3-month/6-month projection; AND (drought) ≥2 seasonal rainfall forecasts (ICPAC/NMA/NMME/IRI) OR… | $20.0M | 900,000 | 2020-12-07 ↗ | ds-aa-eth-drought ↗ | — |
| Fiji | tropical-cyclone | Oct–May | National | Active | 2025-12-17 | — | readiness Population exposed to ≥ 64-knot FMS wind-field buffers (WorldPop 2020 1 km): ≥ 5,000 people action Same wind-field/population exposure indicator, truncated at 72 hr: ≥ 5,000 people observational IMERG Late v07b 2-day average rainfall over Fiji (TC within 250 km ± 1 day): ≥ 190 mm | $3.9M | — | 2025-12-17 ↗ | pa-aa-fji-storms ↗ | 2023-11-13 |
| Haiti | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Nov | National | development | 2026-06-09 | — | forecast wind exposure (≥64 kt pop) OR forecast 2-day rain OR NHC Hurricane Warning for Haiti: optimised by 2D sweep (exp thresh… observed observed-only ≥64 kt wind exposure OR observed 2-day rolling rainfall ≥ threshold: same exposure threshold as forecast… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-hti-hurricanes ↗ | 2024-08-23 |
| Haiti | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Nov | National (excl. Nord-Ouest, Centre) | superseded | 2024-08-23 | 2025-10↗ | Mobilisation → readiness Anticipatory Action → action Early Response → obsv | $4.0M | — | 2024-08-23 ↗ | ds-aa-hti-hurricanes ↗ | — |
| Kenya | drought | Jul–Sep | KE001; KE007; KE009; KE011; KE023; KE026; KE028; KE036; KE038; KE039 | development | 2023-02-19 | — | OND-July-checkpoint "KMD SPI-OND < -0.98 prob" (EAP); "KMD CPT below-normal prob" (repo: 40%/35% IOD-adjusted): EAP: ≥33% in ≥3 of 23 ASAL… OND-August-checkpoint same: EAP: ≥33% in ≥3 of 23 ASAL counties; repo RP5: same IOD thresholds OND-September-checkpoint same: EAP: ≥33% in ≥3 of 23 ASAL counties; repo RP5: same IOD thresholds | — | — | not public | ds-aa-ken-drought ↗ | — |
| Guatemala | drought | Mar–May, Jul–Sep | Chiquimula, Zacapa, Jalapa, El Progreso | recently triggered | 2026-03-13 | 2025-07↗, 2026-03↗ | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds (grid-searched); overall seasonal RP ≈… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds; overall seasonal RP ≈ 1 in 3.9–4.4 yr… | $4.0M | — | 2026-03-13 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ | 2025-02 |
| Honduras | drought | Mar–May, Jul–Sep | El Paraíso (Texiguat, Vado Ancho), Francisco Morazán (Curarén, Alubarén, Reitoca) | recently triggered | 2026-03-13 | 2026-03↗ | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds (grid-searched); overall seasonal RP ≈… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds; overall seasonal RP ≈ 1 in 3.9–4.4 yr… | $4.0M | — | 2026-03-13 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ | 2025-02 |
| El Salvador | drought | Mar–May, Jul–Sep | Ahuachapán, Santa Ana | recently triggered | 2026-03-13 | 2026-03↗ | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds (grid-searched); overall seasonal RP ≈… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5 seasonal precip (mm) over priority departments: Per-leadtime RP thresholds; overall seasonal RP ≈ 1 in 3.9–4.4 yr… | $2.5M | — | 2026-03-13 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ | 2025-02 |
| Guatemala | drought | Mar–Aug | Chiquimula (San Jacinto, Jocotán, Camotán, San Juan Ermita, Chiquimula, San José La Arada, Concepción Las Minas, Olopa, Quezaltepeque, Esquipulas) | superseded | 2025-02 | — | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (SLV, HND); INSIVUMEH-seasonal-precip (GTM lt 1–4); SEAS5 for GTM lt 0 (May): MJJA total ≤ RP-4 e… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (SLV, HND); INSIVUMEH-seasonal-precip (GTM lt 1–3): SON total ≤ RP-4 empirical value; per-country… | $4.0M | — | 2025-02-27 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ | 2024 |
| Honduras | drought | Mar–Aug | El Paraíso (Texiguat, Vado Ancho); Francisco Morazán (Curarén, Alubarén, Reitoca) | superseded | 2025-02 | — | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (SLV, HND); INSIVUMEH-seasonal-precip (GTM lt 1–4); SEAS5 for GTM lt 0 (May): MJJA total ≤ RP-4 e… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (SLV, HND); INSIVUMEH-seasonal-precip (GTM lt 1–3): SON total ≤ RP-4 empirical value; per-country… | $4.0M | — | 2025-02-27 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ | 2024 |
| El Salvador | drought | Mar–Aug | San Vicente (San Vicente, Tecoluca) | superseded | 2025-02 | — | Window A — Primera (MJJA) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (SLV, HND); INSIVUMEH-seasonal-precip (GTM lt 1–4); SEAS5 for GTM lt 0 (May): MJJA total ≤ RP-4 e… Window B — Postrera (SON) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (SLV, HND); INSIVUMEH-seasonal-precip (GTM lt 1–3): SON total ≤ RP-4 empirical value; per-country… | $2.5M | — | 2025-02-27 ↗ | ds-aa-lac-dry-corridor ↗ | 2024 |
| Madagascar | plague | Oct–Apr | Central highlands (plague-endemic regions) | development | draft-2021 | — | *(none documented)* —: — | — | — | not public | — | — |
| Madagascar | tropical-cyclone | Nov–Apr | National | recently triggered | 2024-12-13 | 2026-02↗ | Readiness Wind speed forecast + distance to coast (Météo-Madagascar bulletin): ≥ 166 km/h (≈ 90 kt) forecast within 100 km of coa… Action Wind speed forecast + distance to coast (Météo-Madagascar bulletin): ≥ 166 km/h (≈ 90 kt) forecast within 100 km of coa… | $3.0M | — | 2024-12-13 ↗ | ds-aa-mdg-storms ↗ | — |
| Myanmar | tropical-cyclone | Apr–Dec | Rakhine | development | development | — | wind alert ECMWF-wind-speed, CMA-wind-speed (distance-reduced at Rakhine): >= 47 kt at Rakhine ADM1 rainfall alert CHIRPS-GEFS-3day-rainfall (3-day rolling SUM of Rakhine ADM1 daily-mean precip): >= 175 mm 3-day rolling sum | — | — | not public | ds-aa-mmr-cyclones ↗ | — |
| Mozambique | cholera | year-round | National | Active | 2026-05-22 | — | District path Weekly AWD cases per district: floor met AND (4× prev week OR ≥99th percentile per 100k) for 3 consecutive weeks; ≥2 di… Province path Weekly province-total AWD cases ≥2,500 for 3 consecutive weeks: 2,500 cases/week | $1.5M | — | 2026-05-22 ↗ | ds-aa-moz-cholera ↗ | — |
| Mozambique | tropical-cyclone | Nov–Apr | Cabo Delgado; Nampula; Zambezia; Sofala; Inhambane; Gaza; Maputo; Maputo City | recently triggered | 2026-01-09 | 2025-03↗, 2026-02↗ | Readiness windspeed exposed-area: ≥ 119 km/h over a coastal province Action windspeed exposed-area: ≥ 119 km/h over a coastal province Observational (wind) windspeed at landfall: ≥ 119 km/h Observational (rain) 3-day province rain (IMERG): > 120 mm | $4.5M | — | 2026-01-09 ↗ | ds-aa-moz-cyclones ↗ | 2025-05-23 |
| Mauritania | drought | Feb–May, Jul–Aug | MR10 | recently triggered | 2026-04-17 | 2026-05↗ | Window 1 — Forecast (Feb–May) ONM JAS seasonal forecast (NCDP Maproom v8), top-45% drought years across Mauritania, two consecutive issue months: 45t… Window 2 — Observational (Jul–Aug) Cumulative CHIRPS national-average rainfall since 1 July vs dekad thresholds: 2nd Jul=6.6mm, 3rd Jul=13.6mm, 1st Aug=22… | $2.5M | — | 2026-04-17 ↗ | ds-aa-mrt-drought ↗ | — |
| Malawi | drought | Nov–Feb | Balaka; Chikwawa; Nsanje | retired | 2021 | — | Stage I — predictive ECMWF subseasonal (S2S) dry-spell forecast: forecast of a dry spell (14 consecutive days, 0–2 mm) in January (decided m… Stage II — observational CHIRPS observed rainfall: a dry spell (14 consecutive days, 0–2 mm) observed in the pilot districts (reported as "at le… | $7.0M | — | 2021-10 ↗ | — | — |
| Niger | drought | Feb–Jun, Aug | south-of-17N-zone | development | 2026-06-03 | — | Window 1 "save the harvest" IRI below-avg JAS prob (rolling 10-yr reference): top 35% of reference window (app default) Window 2 (forecast path) IRI below-avg JAS prob (rolling 10-yr reference): top 35% of reference window (app default) Window 2 (observational path) "Aug" column: bottom 15% of full record (app default; endorsed PDF states lowest 35% — unresolved) | — | — | not public | ds-aa-ner-drought ↗ | 2024-10-24 |
| Niger | drought | Feb–Jun, Aug | south-of-17N-zone; 28-priority-communes | superseded | 2024-10-24 | 2022-08↗ | Window 1 "save the harvest" IRI below-avg JAS prob: driest 35% Window 2 (forecast path) IRI below-avg JAS prob: driest 35% Window 2 (obs path, fallback only) Jun–Jul SPI (ENACTS/CHIRP): lowest 35% | $14.8M | 455,400 | 2024-10-24 ↗ | ds-aa-ner-drought ↗ | 2022-08-04 |
| Niger | flood | Nov–Feb, Jul–Sep | Dosso; Tillabéri | recently triggered | 2025-11-04 | 2024-11↗, 2026-01 | mobilisation (crue locale Jul-Sep OR crue guinéenne Nov-Feb) ABN-Niamey-water-level-cm: 592 cm action (crue locale Jul-Sep OR crue guinéenne Nov-Feb) ABN-Niamey-water-level-cm: 604 cm | $5.0M | 109,156 | 2025-11-04 ↗ | pa-aa-ner-flooding ↗ | 2024-10-24 |
| Nigeria | flood | Aug–Nov | NG002001; NG002002; NG002005; NG002009; NG002016; NG002020; NG002021 | Active | 2026-06-18 | — | Adamawa action — riverine (Benue R.) Google-GRRR-multi-gauge-discharge (≥6 of 10 gauges simultaneously exceed 4-yr RP): Per-gauge 4-yr empirical Weibull RP… Adamawa readiness — GloFAS (forecast OR reanalysis) GloFAS-discharge at Wuroboki (G5004): ≥3,132 m³/s (READINESS_GLOFAS_THRESH) for both branches NHF flash flood — BAY states (4 retargeted LGAs) FloodScan×WorldPop population exposure per LGA, strict 3-day rolling mean (app.floodscan_exposure): Mobbar 14,720; Maid… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-nga-flooding ↗ | 2025-08-11 |
| Nigeria | flood | Aug–Nov | NG002001; NG002002; NG002005; NG002009; NG002016; NG002020; NG002021; NG008003; NG036001; NG036010; NG002010; NG008021; NG008025 | superseded | 2025-08-11 | 2025-09↗ | Riverine flooding — Adamawa 7 LGAs GloFAS-discharge OR Google-GRRR-discharge: GloFAS ≥3,132 m³/s at Wuroboki (G5004); Google ≥1,195 m³/s at Kangli (hybas_… Flash flooding — BAY states 6 LGAs FloodScan-SFED-exposure (3-day rolling avg × WorldPop 2020): Per-LGA: Bade 32,124; Bama 12,334; Karasuwa 4,296; Madagal… | $7.0M | 350,000 | 2025-07-29 ↗ | ds-aa-nga-flooding ↗ | — |
| Nicaragua | drought | Mar–Aug | NIC: five (unnamed in available public sources) municipalities within the Dry Corridor | retired | 2024-03-22 | — | Primera (inferred, MJJA) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (assumed): not confirmed Postrera (inferred, SON) SEAS5-seasonal-precip (assumed): not confirmed | — | — | 2024-03-22 ↗ | — | — |
| Nepal | flood | Jun–Sep | NPL/Koshi Province/Sunsari district — Chatara gauge, Koshi river (in scope of the endorsed 2025 framework); NPL/Karnali — Chisapani gauge, Karnali river (out of endorsed 2025 scope; carried for cross-source evaluation only) | development | draft-geoglows | — | readiness GloFAS ensemble discharge at Chatara, ≥50% prob > RP5 (10,300 m³/s), 7-day lead action DHM 3-day flood-forecast bulletin (3 qualitative conditions) | — | — | not public | ds-aa-npl-flooding ↗ | 2025-08-25 |
| Nepal | flood | Jun–Sep | NPL/Province No. 1/Sunsari district (5 palikas, Koshi basin); NPL/Province No. 2/Saptari district (7 palikas, Koshi basin); NPL/Lumbini Province/Banke district (3 palikas, Karnali basin); NPL/Lumbini Province/Bardiya district (6 palikas, Karnali basin); NPL/Sudurpaschim Province/Kailali district (2 palikas, Karnali basin) | superseded | 2021 | 2021-08↗, 2022-10↗ | readiness (Koshi/Chatara) GloFAS ensemble discharge at Chatara: ≥70% probability of exceeding RP2 discharge (6,350 m³/s) action (Koshi/Chatara) DHM flood-warning bulletin AND (GloFAS 3-day ≥70% at RP2/6,350 m³/s OR observed level ≥ 7.0 m danger level): DHM alert… readiness (Karnali/Chisapani) GloFAS ensemble discharge at Chisapani: ≥70% probability of exceeding RP2 discharge (6,300 m³/s) action (Karnali/Chisapani) DHM flood-warning bulletin AND (GloFAS 3-day ≥70% at RP2/6,300 m³/s OR observed level ≥ 10.8 m danger level): DHM alert… | $6.7M | 80,000 | 2021-08-09 ↗ | — | — |
| Nepal | flood | Jun–Sep | NPL/Koshi Province/Sunsari district (4 palikas: Barachchetra, Bhokraha Narsingh, Harinagar, Koshi); NPL/Madhesh Province/Saptari district (5 palikas: Chhinamasta, Hanumannagar Kankalini, Kanchanrup, Saptakoshi, Tilathi Koiladi); NPL/Lumbini Province/Bardiya district (4 palikas — names not sourced); NPL/Sudurpaschim Province/Kailali district (2 palikas — names not sourced) | superseded | 2024-09-27 | 2024-10↗ | readiness (Koshi/Chatara) GloFAS ensemble discharge: ≥70% probability of reaching RP2 (Copernicus-dashboard equivalent 8,113 m³/s at Chatara) action (Koshi/Chatara) DHM real-time danger-level gauge OR GloFAS 3-day forecast: DHM gauge at government danger level (7.0 m at Chatara), OR… readiness (Karnali/Chisapani) GloFAS ensemble discharge: ≥70% probability of reaching RP2 (Copernicus-dashboard equivalent 5,664 m³/s at Chisapani) action (Karnali/Chisapani) DHM real-time danger-level gauge OR GloFAS 3-day forecast: DHM gauge at government danger level (10.5 m at Chisapani),… | $6.5M | 238,831 | 2024-09-27 ↗ | ds-aa-npl-flooding ↗ | 2023-09 |
| Nepal | flood | Jun–Sep | NPL/Koshi Province/Sunsari district (4 palikas: Barachchetra, Bhokraha Narsingh, Harinagar, Koshi); NPL/Madhesh Province/Saptari district (5 palikas: Chhinamasta, Hanumannagar Kankalini, Kanchanrup, Saptakoshi, Tilathi Koiladi) | superseded | 2025-08-25 | 2024-10↗, 2022-10↗ | readiness GloFAS ensemble discharge at Chatara: ≥ 50% probability of exceeding 10,300 m³/s within 7 days action DHM 3-day flood-forecast bulletin: Chatara forecast red + forecast "significant increase" + advisory "extreme flooding"… | $2.7M | 50,000 | 2025-08-25 ↗ | ds-aa-npl-flooding ↗ | 2024-09-27 |
| Philippines | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | Bicol (R5); Eastern Visayas (R8); Caraga (R13) | recently triggered | 2025-10-03 | 2025-11↗ | readiness "ECMWF-wind-forecast: max 10-min sustained wind speed": ≥177 km/h (or ≥200 km/h 1-min) projected to impact Region 5, 8,… action "510-model-houses-totally-damaged": Per-region matrix (e.g. Region 5: 50%@25k, 60%@15k, 70%@10k, 80%@6k, 95%@2.5k; Regi… observational "PAGASA-sustained-windspeed": Super typhoon ≥185 km/h (10-min); ≥50% of target region within damaging winds; used only… | $6.0M | 955,502 | 2025-10-03 ↗ | pa-aa-phl-storms ↗ | 2024-09-13 |
| Philippines | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | Bicol (R5); Eastern Visayas (R8) — Samar Island provinces (Scenario 1) / Leyte Island provinces (Scenario 2); Caraga (R13) | superseded | 2022 | — | readiness ECMWF-wind-forecast: Category 4+ TC (>200 km/h maximum 1-min sustained wind speed) projected to impact Region 5, 8, or… action 510-model-houses-totally-damaged: Probability matrix: 50% probability of ≥80,000 houses totally damaged ... 95% probabi… | $7.5M | 499,000 | 2022-10-13 ↗ | — | 2021-09-15 |
| Philippines | tropical-cyclone | Jun–Dec | Region V (Bicol); Region VIII (Eastern Visayas); Region XIII (Caraga) | superseded | 2023 | — | Readiness Cyclone category / max sustained wind forecast (ECMWF): Potential to reach Category 3+ (>178 km/h 1-min / 158 km/h 10-m… Action 510 Global modeled houses totally damaged (from ECMWF forecast tracks): 50% probability of 80,000 houses totally damage… | $7.5M | — | 2023-10-03 ↗ | pa-aa-phl-storms ↗ | 2022-10-13 |
| Somalia | drought | Feb, Jul–Aug | National | retired | 2019 | 2020-06↗, 2021-02↗ | Food-insecurity projection (single) FSNAU/FEWSNET IPC food-security projection: ≥20% of population projected at IPC Phase 3+ (corroborated by OCHA learning… | — | 661,166 | 2021 ↗ | — | — |
| South Sudan | flood | — | Unity; Bentiu | retired | 2022-05 | 2022-05↗ | (no formal window — single risk-based anticipatory decision) none defined: none | $15.0M | 320,000 | 2024-01-18 ↗ | — | — |
| Chad | drought | Mar–Jun, Sep | Lac; Kanem; Bahr-El-Gazal; Sila; Wadi Fira; Batha; Ouaddaï | Active | 2025-03-03 | 2026-04↗, 2026-05↗ | Window 1 — livelihoods (main harvest) SEAS5 pixel percentile rank, spatial 20th quantile over AOI: < 15th historical percentile Window 2 — livelihoods (market garden & livestock) SEAS5 pixel percentile rank, spatial 20th quantile over AOI: < 15th historical percentile Window 3 — early humanitarian impact ACF biomass trend-adjusted anomaly, AOI aggregate, dekad 24 (3rd decade Aug): < 84.5% of linear-fit prediction | $8.0M | 260,000 | 2025-03-03 ↗ | ds-aa-tcd-drought ↗ | 2022-10-24 |
| Chad | flood | Jul–Oct | TD18; TD11 | Active | 2025-07-31 | 2024-09↗ | Readiness (Mobilisation) GloFAS ensemble-mean discharge, Chari R. at N'Djamena: ≥ 4,542 m³/s Action GloFAS ensemble-mean discharge, Chari R. at N'Djamena: ≥ 4,542 m³/s | $4.0M | — | 2025-07-31 ↗ | pa-aa-tcd-flooding ↗ | 2024-09-26 |
| Vanuatu | tropical-cyclone | Nov–Apr | Sanma; Shefa; Tafea | development | development | — | activation IBTrACS USA-radii pop. exposed to ≥64kt wind (AOI: Shefa, Sanma, Tafea) AND IMERG 2-day mean rainfall (country): not fi… | — | — | not public | ds-aa-vut-cyclones ↗ | — |
| Yemen | flood | Apr–May, Jul–Aug | Hajjah; Marib | retired | 2023 | — | Hajjah (Abs district AOI) CHIRPS-GEFS 3-day cumulative zonal mean: 24 mm Marib (Ma'rib + Ma'rib City AOI) CHIRPS-GEFS 3-day cumulative zonal mean: 20 mm | $3.0M | — | not public | pa-aa-yem-flooding ↗ | — |