Burkina Faso — Drought Active
Anticipatory action framework bfa-drought
| Country | Burkina Faso | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Hazard | Drought | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Monitoring period | Apr, Aug–Sep (Doc states two non-cumulative activation windows ("fenêtres d'opportunité"): April for the SEAS5 forecast trigger, and August or September for the ASAP observational trigger. The ASAP observation window spans the 3rd decade of July to the 2nd decade of September, but the trigger can only fire (activate) in August or September — so July is a data-monitoring month, not a trigger month, and is excluded here.) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Area of interest | Liptako; Yaadga | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Current version | 2026-04-17 · valid until 2027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Trigger windows | issued April SEAS5 seasonal precip (Jun–Oct) tercile: ≥ 50% of AOI in lowest tercile dekads 21–26 (late Jul–mid Sep) JRC ASAP biomass/water-balance: Level-3 alert in ≥2 provinces | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pre-arranged financing | $8.0M (CERF $8.0M) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Budget by sector | Food Security $5.7M · Nutrition $0.8M · WASH $0.8M · Protection $0.7M | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Budget by agency | FAO $2.9M · WFP $2.9M · UNICEF $1.9M · UNHCR $0.2M · UNFPA $0.2M Both dicts cover the full CERF $8M (sole source); Food Security = WFP 2.85M + FAO 2.85M; Protection = UNICEF 0.3M + UNFPA 0.2M + UNHCR 0.2M; UNICEF total 1.9M = Nutrition 0.8M + WASH 0.8M + Protection 0.3M. Split is indicative (final budgets set in agency project proposals). The doc's EN summary table misprints UNICEF as 1,600,000; the FR table and the activities table both give 1,900,000. Full breakdown as stated in the framework document (7 budget lines, $8,000,000)Ventilation complète telle qu’indiquée dans le document du cadre (7 lignes budgétaires, $8,000,000)
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| Framework document | 2026-04-17 ↗ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Code repository | pa-aa-bfa-drought ↗ |
Activation history
This framework has not activated.
Trigger statistics (current version)
Analysis period 2001–2025. All-in: the whole envelope releases on any trigger. Backtested years are when each trigger would have fired in the historical record — not real activations.Les années backtest sont celles où chaque déclencheur se serait déclenché dans l’historique — pas des activations réelles.
| Window | Return period | Probability | Backtested activation years |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. SEAS5 April | 6.5 years | 15% | 2005, 2009, 2019, 2020 |
| 2. ASAP warnings | 5.2 years | 19% | 2002, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2011 |
| Overall (any window) | 3.2 years | 31% |