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OCHA Anticipatory Action Frameworks

Knowledge Base

MyanmarTropical cyclone development

Anticipatory action framework mmr-cyclones

🛠 The current version of this framework is an in-development redesign — not yet endorsed. Details below describe the design being built; the last endorsed design is under previous versions.🛠 La version actuelle de ce cadre est une refonte en cours de développement — pas encore approuvée. Les détails ci-dessous décrivent la conception en cours ; la dernière conception approuvée figure sous versions précédentes.

CountryMyanmar
HazardTropical cyclone
Monitoring periodApr–Dec (Bay of Bengal TC season, Apr–Dec, with pre-monsoon (Apr–Jun) and post-monsoon (Oct–Dec) intensity peaks; no doc exists to state a season, so inferred. Jul–Sep is INCLUDED deliberately: the framework's own would-have-triggered set contains Komen (July 2015, via the rainfall condition), so a monsoon-season month can fire. In practice the GHA schedules run every day of the year with no seasonal cron gating and no MONITORING_START_DATE check (see extra.monitoring_start_note), so this is a hazard-season judgment, not an enforced monitoring window; the only code-level seasonal bound is the CHIRPS-GEFS processing range, which starts each year on ~25 March (chirps_gefs.process_recent_chirps_gefs) and has no end.)
Area of interestRakhine
Current versiondevelopment
Trigger windows
wind alert ECMWF-wind-speed, CMA-wind-speed (distance-reduced at Rakhine): >= 47 kt at Rakhine ADM1
rainfall alert CHIRPS-GEFS-3day-rainfall (3-day rolling SUM of Rakhine ADM1 daily-mean precip): >= 175 mm 3-day rolling sum
Pre-arranged financing
Code repositoryds-aa-mmr-cyclones ↗

Activation history

This framework has not activated.

Trigger statistics (current version)

No published trigger statistics for this framework yet.